De las Heras: President Sheinbaum’s Approval Rises to 70% and Morena Also Grows, to 45%

ByAranza Estrada

This article by Aranza Estrada originally appeared in the November 2, 2026 edition of SinEmbargo, an independent Mexican digital news outlet.

Mexico City, November 2 (SinEmbargo).— President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo maintains broad public support, with 70 percent approval of her government and 67 percent positive opinions of her performance, while Morena leads electoral preferences for the Chamber of Deputies, according to the National Household Public Opinion Survey by De las Heras Demotecnia for October 2026.

The results, published this Monday, show that 51 percent of the people surveyed have a good opinion of the president and 16 percent consider her very good, compared to 19 percent who express a negative assessment.

As for the evaluation of her Administration, presidential approval rose by approximately two percentage points compared to September, when it stood at around 68 percent. In contrast, 24 percent of respondents disapprove of her administration, while six percent did not respond.

SinEmbargo chart showing the evolution of President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval rating between January 2025 and October 2026
President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval reached 70 percent in October 2026, while 24 percent disapprove of her administration. Photo: SinEmbargo

Citizens Rate Sheinbaum’s Work at 7.2

In addition to approval levels, the De las Heras Demotecnia survey reveals that the head of the federal Executive received an average rating of 7.2 out of 10 for her work. Thirty-five percent of those interviewed gave her a score of eight or nine, while 22 percent rated her administration with the highest score.

In contrast, 18 percent gave her a rating of six or seven, 17 percent placed her between one and five, and six percent gave her zero. Altogether, 57 percent of participants rated her performance at eight points or more.

Regarding the president’s honesty, 34 percent of those consulted consider her very honest and 26 percent see her as somewhat honest, which represents a favorable assessment of 60 percent on this indicator.

On the other hand, 19 percent believe she is not very honest and 13 percent consider her not honest at all. Another two percent rated this attribute as average, while six percent did not know or did not respond.

Chart from the National Household Public Opinion Survey showing that 70 percent of respondents approve of Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration
Seven out of 10 Mexicans approve of President Claudia Sheinbaum’s work, according to the October survey by De las Heras Demotecnia. Photo: De las Heras Demotecnia

Morena Leads the PAN by 36 Points in Electoral Preferences

Support for Morena is also reflected in electoral preferences, where the party concentrates 45 percent of voting intention for the Chamber of Deputies, a lead of 36 percentage points over the National Action Party (PAN), its closest competitor, which registers nine percent.

According to the survey results, if the elections for federal deputies were held today, preferences would be distributed as follows:

  • National Regeneration Movement (Morena): 45 percent.
  • National Action Party (PAN): nine percent.
  • Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI): seven percent.
  • Citizens’ Movement (MC): six percent.
  • Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM): four percent.
  • Labor Party (PT): two percent.
  • Partido Paz: one percent.
  • SomosMX: one percent.

In addition, 12 percent of those surveyed do not know whom they would vote for, while 10 percent would not choose any political force. Another one percent said they would not go to vote, one percent kept their preference secret and one percent answered that they would vote for anyone.

Morena’s advantage is also seen in party identification, as 49 percent of those interviewed say they feel closest to this political force, compared to nine percent who identify with the PAN and eight percent with the PRI. Citizens’ Movement has six percent, while the PVEM reaches three percent and the PT two percent.

With these results, the party maintains a 40-percentage-point lead over National Action in party identification, in addition to leading voting intention by a wide margin heading into the next federal elections. In contrast, 19 percent of respondents say they do not identify with any political party.

Chart from the De las Heras Demotecnia national survey for October 2026 showing voting intention for the Chamber of Deputies
Morena leads electoral preferences with 45 percent of voting intention for federal deputies, 36 points above the PAN. Photo: De las Heras Demotecnia

How Was the De las Heras Survey Conducted?

The De las Heras Demotecnia National Survey was conducted from October 23 to 26, 2026, through 1,000 interviews with people over 18 who hold a voter ID card, with the aim of learning their perceptions of the federal government and the population’s political preferences.

For the survey, the country’s electoral sections were divided into seven strata, according to the type of electoral competition. The areas where the questionnaires would be administered were then randomly selected, and households were chosen through a systematic procedure with a random start.

The polling firm specified that the study has a 95 percent confidence level and an expected statistical margin of error of ±3.2 percentage points, so its results represent an estimate of public opinion during the survey period.